“Erika Kirk vs. Candace Owens Slop” is the Top Baby Name Predicted for 2026

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Your Daily #InstrumIntel for Tuesday, December 16, 2025

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Tuesday, December 16, 2025


Welcome to The Instrum-Intel Daily, where we break down what you need to know, and why, using What? So What? Now What?.

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PoliticsThe Trump AdministrationClimateAI & TechCultureEducationWhat the Right is ReadingEtc.


Politics


Headline: Yashar Ali warns of antisemitic fallout from Erika Kirk/Candace Owens meeting | Threads

  • What?

    Yashar Ali warns that the high-profile meeting between Erika Kirk and Candace Owens regarding Charlie Kirk's assassination will inevitably fuel antisemitic conspiracies, arguing that Owens' audience is primed to interpret any de-escalation as proof of "Jewish blackmail" or "getting the call."

  • So What?

    This illustrates the dangerous, self-perpetuating nature of the Right's conspiracy ecosystem, where "let them fight" is a naive strategy that ignores how internal GOP feuds are being weaponized into violent radicalization against Jewish communities.

  • Now What?

    Watch for the specific phrase "got the call" trending among Owens' followers if she softens her rhetoric; monitor for further "deep state" accusations involving the FBI and Ukrainian refugees.

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Headline: Pence Calls on Trump to Fire RFK Jr. Over Abortion Drug | RealClearPolitics

  • What?

    Former VP Mike Pence is publicly demanding Trump remove RFK Jr. from his administration, citing Kennedy's erratic stance on mifepristone access as a betrayal of the evangelical base.

  • So What?

    This signals the inevitable fracturing of the MAGA-Evangelical-Kennedy coalition; communicators should exploit this rift by highlighting the administration's chaotic, contradictory health policies that satisfy no one.

  • Now What?

    Watch for other social conservative leaders joining Pence's call; monitor RFK Jr.'s response on X/social media for potential escalation.

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Headline: Broadcaster Michele Tafoya weighs Minnesota Senate bid | Semafor

  • What?

    Former sideline reporter and conservative commentator Michele Tafoya is reportedly testing the waters for a U.S. Senate run in Minnesota, aiming to flip a key seat in the midterms.

  • So What?

    This continues the 'celebrity-to-candidate' pipeline on the Right; communicators must be ready to counter media-savvy candidates who prioritize culture war soundbites over policy substance.

  • Now What?

    Watch for polling in Minnesota's suburbs; research Tafoya's recent podcast rhetoric for preview of her potential campaign themes.

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Headline: Is child protection the Achilles' heel of the Orbán government? | Telex

  • What?

    An analysis from Hungary suggests that despite Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's stronghold on power, a growing scandal involving the state's failure to protect children in government care is cracking his 'family-first' narrative.

  • So What?

    This is a critical case study for progressive communicators on how to puncture authoritarian 'family values' branding: by highlighting the systemic hypocrisy and tangible failures of the state to protect the most vulnerable.

  • Now What?

    Watch for similar 'hypocrisy wedges' in U.S. politics regarding social safety nets; read Telex's full breakdown on the 'kegyelmi-ügy' (clemency scandal) parallels.

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Headline: Albanese proposes tougher gun laws after Bondi attack | ABC News

  • What?

    Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is moving to tighten national firearm restrictions even further following a high-profile attack in Bondi, aiming to close loopholes on weapon storage and licensing.

  • So What?

    While the U.S. political reality is vastly different, this underscores how rapid legislative action following a tragedy is a standard expectation in functioning democracies—a stark contrast to normalize in domestic messaging.

  • Now What?

    Watch for U.S. gun safety advocates using this as a comparative benchmark; further reading on the specifics of the 'National Firearms Agreement' updates is recommended.

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Headline: What My Party Needs to Do | Democracy Journal

  • What?

    A new Democracy Journal symposium features prominent Democratic strategists arguing that the party must abandon 'technocratic tweaks' in favor of a raw, populist economic argument to win back the working class.

  • So What?

    This is the internal debate defining the post-2024 landscape; communicators should note the shift in language from 'competence' to 'fight,' aligning with Instrumental's focus on clear, villain-focused narratives.

  • Now What?

    Watch for how this rhetoric filters into 2026 midterm messaging; read the full symposium for specific messaging pivots on trade and corporate power.

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Headline: The Weakness of Strongmen | Foreign Affairs

  • What?

    Historian Stephen Kotkin argues that the perceived invincibility of authoritarian leaders (like Xi, Putin, and potentially Trump) masks brittle internal structures that are prone to catastrophic, sudden collapse due to information vacuums.

  • So What?

    A crucial reminder for messaging strategy: do not portray the opposition as an unstoppable juggernaut, but rather as a rigid, fragile system that breaks under sustained pressure and truth-telling.

  • Now What?

    Watch for signs of 'informational isolation' in the Trump White House; read Kotkin's analysis to better understand the pressure points of autocracies.

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The Trump Administration


Headline: USAID Cholera Deaths and Trump Humanitarian Aid Cuts | ProPublica

  • What?

    A ProPublica investigation links the sudden slashing of USAID funding to a massive, preventable cholera outbreak in South Sudan, directly tracing the death toll to specific budget cuts made by the Trump White House.

  • So What?

    This provides the 'smoking gun' needed to illustrate the human cost of 'America First' isolationism; use this story to humanize foreign aid discussions, which often feel abstract to domestic audiences.

  • Now What?

    Watch for Congressional hearings on USAID budget oversight; this story may have legs for a targeted campaign on global health security.

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Headline: Trump's Climate-Change Acceleration | The Atlantic

  • What?

    The Atlantic profiles the administration's 'Project Acceleration,' a coordinated effort to dismantle NEPA reviews and fast-track fossil fuel infrastructure at a speed that makes the first term look sluggish.

  • So What?

    This is the core threat to our climate goals; the messaging must shift from 'Trump denies climate change' to 'Trump is actively engineering a more dangerous world for profit,' connecting the policy directly to extreme weather events.

  • Now What?

    Watch for the specific executive orders on LNG export terminals mentioned in the piece; prepare rapid response for the next major permit approval.

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Headline: Trump, Harold Hamm, and Oil & Gas | The New York Times

  • What?

    The NYT details the intimate, pay-to-play relationship between Trump and fracking tycoon Harold Hamm, revealing how Hamm effectively drafted the administration's latest energy deregulation orders.

  • So What?

    It validates the 'captured government' narrative; use the specific details of their meetings to paint the administration as employees of the oil industry, not the American people.

  • Now What?

    Watch for Hamm's Continental Resources receiving favorable lease terms on federal lands; bookmark this for future conflict-of-interest exposés.

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Headline: Designating Fentanyl as a Weapon of Mass Destruction | White House

  • What?

    The White House has issued an executive order designating fentanyl as a WMD, granting the Department of Homeland Security and DoD unprecedented powers to conduct domestic and border operations.

  • So What?

    This creates a pretext for militarizing the border and potentially deploying troops domestically under the guise of 'counter-terrorism,' a massive escalation in state power that communicators must reframe as a civil liberties crisis.

  • Now What?

    Watch for the first application of these new powers against civilians or migrants; legal challenges from the ACLU are imminent.

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Headline: Stephen Miller announces 'chilling hunt' | Yahoo News

  • What?

    In a viral clip, Stephen Miller detailed plans for a 'denaturalization task force' aimed at stripping citizenship from naturalized Americans suspected of 'fraud,' using language that observers described as a 'hunt.'

  • So What?

    This is an attempt to normalize the stripping of citizenship, moving the goalposts from 'border security' to 'purging citizens'; this needs to be called out as an existential threat to the concept of American citizenship itself.

  • Now What?

    Watch for the formal rollout of this task force at DOJ; monitor the response from immigrant rights groups like the ACLU and NILC.

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Headline: How the Roberts Court Indulges Trump's Constitutional Workarounds | Washington Monthly

  • What?

    Washington Monthly analyzes recent SCOTUS shadow docket rulings that have allowed Trump's executive overreach to stand without full judicial review, effectively dismantling the checks and balances system.

  • So What?

    It reinforces the narrative that the Court is a partisan political arm, not a neutral arbiter; use this to bolster calls for court reform and to temper expectations for legal victories against the administration.

  • Now What?

    Watch for the Court's handling of the inevitable challenges to the 'Fentanyl WMD' order; read the full analysis for specific legal precedents being ignored.

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Headline: US social media requirements for foreign visitors could have chilling effect on travel | Reuters

  • What?

    New DHS rules requiring all foreign visitors to disclose social media handles are sparking global backlash and fears of a tourism decline, as privacy advocates warn of ideological screening at the border.

  • So What?

    This expands the digital surveillance state; the danger isn't just lost tourism revenue, but the precedent it sets for screening people based on their political speech—a tactic that often eventually turns inward on citizens.

  • Now What?

    Watch for reports of travelers being denied entry based on old tweets; monitor EU retaliation on visa rules for Americans.

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AI & Tech


Headline: Indiana AG sues one of largest porn companies in the world, Aylo | WTHR

  • What?

    Indiana Attorney General Todd Rokita has sued Aylo (parent of Pornhub) for failing to implement strict age verification and for allegedly profiting from non-consensual content, leveraging state consumer protection laws.

  • So What?

    While framed as child safety, this is part of the broader conservative push to de-anonymize the internet and restrict adult content; communicators must separate legitimate abuse concerns from digital ID mandates.

  • Now What?

    Watch for Aylo's potential withdrawal from Indiana (geo-blocking); monitor similar suits in other GOP-led states.

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Headline: Google AI recipes are ruining food bloggers' livelihoods | The Guardian

  • What?

    The Guardian reports that Google's new 'AI Kitchen' feature, which scrapes recipes and serves them directly in search results without clicking through, has caused a 40% traffic drop for independent food creators.

  • So What?

    This is a tangible, relatable example of AI extraction destroying small businesses; it's a perfect story to illustrate the 'AI vs. Human Creativity' narrative to a broad audience who might not care about copyright law but care about their favorite bloggers.

  • Now What?

    Watch for a class-action lawsuit from digital publishers; look for 'Save Our Creators' campaigns gaining traction on TikTok.

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Headline: When it all comes crashing down: The aftermath of the AI boom | Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

  • What?

    The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists predicts a massive financial correction as the 'AI Bubble' bursts due to high energy costs and lack of profitable use cases, leaving behind environmental destruction and zombie infrastructure.

  • So What?

    This challenges the 'inevitability' narrative of AI; communicators should position AI not as the future, but as a risky, environmentally costly gamble that is currently failing to deliver.

  • Now What?

    Watch for earnings reports from major chip manufacturers in Q1 2026; read the report for data on the 'energy debt' left by data centers.

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Headline: Trump's freeze on state AI laws could make your next home cost even more | The Independent

  • What?

    A federal preemption order from the Trump administration has frozen state-level attempts (like in Colorado and CA) to regulate AI algorithmic pricing in real estate, allowing landlords to continue using software to fix rents higher.

  • So What?

    This directly connects 'tech policy' to 'cost of living'—a winning narrative connection. It shows the administration siding with algorithms and landlords over tenants.

  • Now What?

    Watch for rent hikes in major metros utilizing RealPage/Yardi software; this is a prime topic for local housing justice campaigns.

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Headline: AI Risks and Debt | The New York Times

  • What?

    The NYT explores how major tech firms are leveraging massive debt to build AI infrastructure, creating a systemic financial risk reminiscent of the 2008 housing crisis if the technology fails to monetize.

  • So What?

    It reframes the AI boom as a financial house of cards; use this to argue against taxpayer bailouts or subsidies for these data centers.

  • Now What?

    Watch for credit downgrades of major tech firms; further reading on 'shadow banking' in the tech sector is advised.

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Headline: Big Tech's reliance on external capital to fund AI boom is dangerous | Reuters

  • What?

    Hedge fund giant Bridgewater Associates warns that the tech sector's pivot from cash-rich to debt-heavy to fund AI GPU clusters is creating a dangerous volatility in the broader market.

  • So What?

    When even the hedge funds are worried, the narrative is solid: The 'AI Revolution' is financially unstable. This empowers campaigners to push back against 'inevitable' tech expansion in their communities.

  • Now What?

    Watch for market volatility in tech ETFs; use this report in testimony against local tax breaks for data centers.

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Headline: Permitting the AI Boom: A New NEPA Landscape for Energy Infrastructure Projects | Power Magazine

  • What?

    Power Mag details how new federal guidance is fast-tracking NEPA reviews specifically for power lines and plants that serve AI data centers, prioritizing tech growth over environmental protection.

  • So What?

    This confirms that 'permitting reform' is being weaponized to serve Big Tech's energy hunger; environmental campaigners need to highlight how this bypasses community consent.

  • Now What?

    Watch for fast-tracked approvals of gas peaker plants in Northern Virginia and Ohio; monitor the 'Data Center Coalition' lobbying efforts.

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Headline: Where CC stands on 'Pay to Crawl' | Creative Commons

  • What?

    Creative Commons releases a position paper criticizing the 'Pay to Crawl' model (where AI firms pay for access to data), arguing it creates a two-tiered internet where only the wealthy can afford to train or audit models.

  • So What?

    A nuanced take on AI copyright: while we want creators paid, we don't want to enclose the open web. This helps navigate the complex policy landscape of 'Data Dignity.'

  • Now What?

    Watch for how Wikipedia and other open repositories handle licensing deals in 2026; read the full CC statement for policy talking points.

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Headline: Data Center Heat Map | Rest of World

  • What?

    Rest of World publishes an interactive visualization showing the global spread of data centers, correlating them with water stress and energy grid instability in the Global South.

  • So What?

    A powerful visual tool for storytelling; it illustrates 'digital colonialism,' showing how the Global North exports the environmental costs of AI to the Global South.

  • Now What?

    Use this map in presentations to illustrate the physical footprint of 'the cloud'; look for the specific hotspots in Southeast Asia and Latin America.

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Climate


Headline: Chandler City Council unanimously kills Sinema-backed data center | Phoenix New Times

  • What?

    In a stunning victory for local activists, the Chandler, AZ City Council voted 7-0 to reject a massive data center proposal that had been lobbied for by former Senator Kyrsten Sinema, citing water usage concerns.

  • So What?

    This is the win of the week. It proves that local pressure works against even the most powerful interests (Big Tech + political heavyweights). Use this as a case study for other communities fighting data centers.

  • Now What?

    Reach out to the Chandler activists for a 'lessons learned' briefing; watch for Sinema's pivot to lobbying for the next project.

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Headline: BlackRock loses $5.9 billion mandate from Dutch pension fund PME | Bloomberg

  • What?

    The Dutch pension fund PME has pulled nearly $6 billion from BlackRock, citing the asset manager's continued backsliding on fossil fuel divestment and ESG commitments.

  • So What?

    This is the financial accountability we need; it shows that 'anti-woke' pivot carries a real financial cost for BlackRock. Highlight this to pressure US pension funds to follow suit.

  • Now What?

    Watch for BlackRock's CEO Larry Fink addressing this in his next annual letter; monitor other European pension funds for similar moves.

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Headline: If it isn't discussed by conservative groups, does climate change still exist? | CleanTechnica

  • What?

    CleanTechnica analyzes the growing 'silence' on climate change in conservative media ecosystems, where the issue isn't just denied, but entirely erased from the news cycle, creating a bifurcated reality.

  • So What?

    It explains why polling shows such a stark divide; we aren't fighting bad arguments, we are fighting a total news blackout. Communicators must find ways to break the bubble (weather reports, insurance rates).

  • Now What?

    Focus messaging on local impacts (insurance, floods) that cannot be ignored by silence; read the full analysis for keywords that do penetrate the bubble.

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Headline: Los Angeles New Year's Eve turtle liberation arrests | AP News

  • What?

    Police arrested several activists in LA who attempted to 'liberate' sea turtles from a live-market/restaurant supply chain ahead of New Year's Eve festivities.

  • So What?

    A smaller story, but one that highlights the growing direct-action wing of the animal rights movement; it may spark broader conversations about wet markets and wildlife trade in US cities.

  • Now What?

    Watch for viral footage of the arrest on TikTok; monitor for copycat actions in other coastal cities.

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Culture


Headline: Word of the Year: 'Slop' | Merriam-Webster

  • What?

    Merriam-Webster has named 'Slop'—slang for low-quality, AI-generated content—as its 2025 Word of the Year, cementing the public's exhaustion with the degradation of the internet.

  • So What?

    This is a huge cultural win for the 'Human First' narrative. It validates the feeling that tech is making life worse, not better. Use 'Slop' in your copy—it's now officially recognized shorthand.

  • Now What?

    Expect 'Slop' to appear in serious policy critiques; look for the 'anti-slop' branding in marketing for 2026.

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Headline: Expert predictions for 2026 Baby Names | HuffPost

  • What?

    HuffPost reports that baby name trends are shifting away from unique/digital-era spellings back toward 'Grandparent names' and nature-based names, reflecting a societal craving for stability and 'realness.'

  • So What?

    Cultural trends like this are barometers for the national mood; people are seeking grounding and tradition in a chaotic, tech-saturated world. Align campaign aesthetics with this 'return to real.'

  • Now What?

    Use 'grounded' and 'traditional' imagery in lifestyle content; avoid 'futuristic' aesthetics which now feel dated and 'sloppy.'

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Headline: The 2025 Jealousy List | Bloomberg

  • What?

    Bloomberg Businessweek publishes its annual 'Jealousy List' of the best journalism from competitors, highlighting deep dives into corporate malfeasance and climate resilience.

  • So What?

    A goldmine for communicators looking for high-quality, vetted stories to amplify or use as research bases. It's a curated list of the year's most impactful investigative work.

  • Now What?

    Bookmark the list and assign team members to read the top 5 pieces for narrative inspiration.

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Headline: American Gothics | The Baffler

  • What?

    The Baffler essay explores the resurgence of the 'Gothic' mode in American culture—a fascination with decay, hauntings, and the 'undead' nature of our institutions and economy.

  • So What?

    It provides a high-level cultural framework for why 'Dark MAGA' and 'Doomerism' resonate; the country feels haunted by its past. Understanding this vibe helps in crafting emotional resonance in storytelling.

  • Now What?

    Read the essay to understand the 'vibes' of the electorate beyond simple polling data.

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Headline: Patriot Front white supremacists march in Tennessee | CNN

  • What?

    A flash mob of Patriot Front members marched through downtown Nashville/Tennessee, chanting white supremacist slogans before dispersing rapidly, a tactic designed to generate social media clips.

  • So What?

    These groups are the street-level enforcers of the 'Great Replacement' rhetoric pushed by Miller and the administration. Don't amplify their propaganda videos; focus on the community response and rejection of their presence.

  • Now What?

    Watch for local antifascist research identifying the marchers; monitor local news for community cleanup/response rallies.

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Education


Headline: Viral Thread: Yashar Ali & Mrs. Frazzled on the "Concierge Education" Crisis | Threads

  • What?

    In a widely-shared Threads discussion, Yashar Ali and educator/influencer Mrs. Frazzled (Arielle Fodor) expose the unsustainable demands of "concierge parenting," sharing screenshots of parents using classroom surveillance apps to micromanage teachers in real-time.

  • So What?

    This is a critical narrative pivot; it moves the "Parental Rights" debate away from ideology (books/curriculum) and towards the tangible harassment of workers. It humanizes teachers and paints the opposition as unreasonable bullies.

  • Now What?

    Watch for right-wing aggregators attempting to spin these complaints as "teachers hating parents"; prepare defensive messaging focused on "Let Teachers Teach."

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Headline: Heritage Foundation thinktank appoints far-right figure Scott Yenor | The Guardian

  • What?

    The Heritage Foundation has appointed Scott Yenor, a Boise State professor known for misogynistic and anti-LGBTQ writings, as a senior fellow, signaling a doubling down on extreme 'anti-woke' academic policy.

  • So What?

    Heritage is the policy brain of the Trump administration; Yenor's appointment suggests a forthcoming federal push to defund gender studies and DEI in higher ed using 'civil rights' language.

  • Now What?

    Watch for Heritage releasing a new 'model legislation' packet for universities in 2026; research Yenor's past writings to preview the arguments.

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Headline: NIH funding grants review terms text analysis tool health equity racism | Notus

  • What?

    Notus reports that the NIH is using a new text analysis tool to screen grant applications, flagging terms like 'structural racism' and 'health equity' for extra scrutiny or rejection under new anti-DEI mandates.

  • So What?

    This is the quiet bureaucratic erasure of science; it forces researchers to self-censor or lose funding, effectively killing research into racial health disparities without passing a single law.

  • Now What?

    Watch for a drop in funded public health studies regarding minority communities; encourage whistleblowers within NIH to speak out.

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Headline: Why are Gen Z struggling to get into work? | BBC

  • What?

    The BBC investigates the 'experience paradox' facing Gen Z, where entry-level jobs now require 3+ years of experience (often due to AI screening resumes), leading to mass youth unemployment and disillusionment.

  • So What?

    Youth economic anxiety is a major political variable; if Democrats cannot offer a future, the Right will offer scapegoats. We must champion policies that actually help young workers (apprenticeships, banning AI hiring bias).

  • Now What?

    Watch for 'Right to Repair' style laws applied to hiring algorithms; monitor youth polling shifts in the midterms.

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What the Right is Reading


Headline: Trump admin to recruit 1,000 technologists for 'elite tech force' | Fox News

  • What?

    The administration is launching a recruitment drive for Silicon Valley libertarians and 'anti-woke' coders to 'modernize' federal agencies, likely with the intent of dismantling regulatory databases and automating civil service purges.

  • So What?

    'Modernization' is the Trojan horse for deregulation and dismantling the administrative state; communicators need to investigate who is being hired and what systems they are building—transparency is key here.

  • Now What?

    Watch for partnerships with companies like Palantir or Anduril; monitor federal job boards for these specific 'tech force' listings.

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Headline: This Way to Freedom | America's 1st Freedom

  • What?

    An NRA publication argues that the only safeguard against 'globalist tyranny' and the 'deep state' is the unrestricted ownership of firearms, framing gun culture as the ultimate guarantor of personal liberty.

  • So What?

    It's the foundational myth of the right-wing worldview; understanding this 'last line of defense' psychology is crucial when messaging on gun safety—you are fighting their identity, not just their hobby.

  • Now What?

    Monitor how this rhetoric escalates in response to the Albanese news from Australia; expect 'They want to do that here' fearmongering.

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Etc.


Headline: Ukraine claims world's first underwater drone attack on Russian submarine | The War Zone

  • What?

    The War Zone reports that Ukrainian forces successfully utilized a long-range Unmanned Underwater Vehicle (UUV) to damage a Russian Kilo-class submarine in the Black Sea, marking a historic shift in naval warfare.

  • So What?

    Drone warfare continues to evolve rapidly; this asymmetrical capability changes the calculus for global naval powers (including the US/China). It's a reminder that technology favors the agile defender.

  • Now What?

    Watch for Russian retaliation on Ukrainian port infrastructure; monitor Pentagon budget requests for increased UUV funding.

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Headline: Florida leads nation in executions in 2025 | NPR

  • What?

    NPR reports that Florida executed more people in 2025 than any other state, driven by Governor DeSantis's aggressive signing of death warrants and legislative changes reducing jury unanimity requirements.

  • So What?

    The cruelty is the point; state-level GOP leaders are competing to be the 'toughest' on crime. This is a human rights crisis happening domestically.

  • Now What?

    Watch for the Supreme Court declining to hear appeals on non-unanimous death verdicts; support groups like the Innocence Project Florida.

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