Kids Want Crypto, What RFK Jr. Learned from Chiropractors, & Arctic Sea Ice in Trouble
Wednesday, December 17, 2025
Welcome to The Instrum-Intel Daily, where we break down what you need to know, and why, using What? So What? Now What?.
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Politics • The Trump Administration • Climate • AI & Tech • Culture • Education • What the Right is Reading • Etc.
Politics
Headline: Trump and his party enter a winter of discontent | Semafor
What?
As healthcare subsidies expire and poll numbers wobble, Congressional Republicans are privately panicking over President Trump’s erratic behavior—specifically his attacks on a deceased film director and damaging leaks from Chief of Staff Susie Wiles calling him an “alcoholic personality.”
So What?
The "competence" narrative of Trump 2.0 is cracking earlier than expected; for progressive communicators, this is the moment to pivot from attacking Trump’s character to highlighting the *cost* of his chaos: rising healthcare premiums and legislative paralysis.
Now What?
Watch for Trump's upcoming "address to the nation" mentioned in the reporting, and see if Hill Republicans begin to publicly break rank on the healthcare subsidy vote.
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Headline: Trump didn't blow up foreign aid — he's trying to rebuild it in his own image | Semafor
What?
The administration is piloting a new "transactional" foreign aid model with a $150M grant to drone delivery startup Zipline, requiring African governments to sign commercial contracts rather than receiving traditional grants.
So What?
It turns diplomacy into a business deal; while "efficiency" is the selling point, the risk is that aid becomes accessible only to nations that can pay, leaving the most vulnerable behind—a critical equity narrative for global NGOs to push.
Now What?
Watch the Zipline contract disputes in Ghana, where the "pay-to-play" model is already facing operational headwinds.
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Headline: The biggest fear in the AI race is not sending chips to China | Semafor
What?
In a reversal of "America First" hawkishness, the Trump administration is allowing Nvidia to ship advanced H200 AI chips to China, betting that keeping Beijing "hooked" on US tech is better than forcing them to build their own.
So What?
This exposes a massive contradiction in the administration’s "Tough on China" messaging that can be exploited; it prioritizes Big Tech profits over the national security concerns of his own base.
Now What?
Monitor the Department of Justice’s "Operation Gatekeeper," which is simultaneously prosecuting individuals for chip smuggling—a confused policy landscape that is ripe for critique.
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Headline: Axios CEO: US is in 'post-news' era | Semafor
What?
Axios CEO Jim VandeHei issued a stark internal memo declaring the U.S. has entered a "post-news" era where traditional journalism has lost its value proposition to AI-driven, personalized "information" feeds.
So What?
This validates the Instrumental approach: chasing "earned media" in legacy outlets is becoming less effective than building direct-to-audience information channels that bypass the "news" filter entirely.
Now What?
Watch for legacy outlets pivoting to "smart brevity" AI summaries to compete, and expect further fragmentation of the shared reality we rely on for advocacy.
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The Trump Administration
What?
Gen. Gregory Guillot of U.S. Northern Command stated in December 2025 that he would carry out lawful orders to attack so-called designated terrorist organizations within the United States amid rising controversy over extrajudicial killings linked to the Trump administration.
So What?
This signals a troubling expansion of military power potentially used to target domestic political groups, raising severe civil liberties and checks-and-balances concerns for progressive campaigners focused on defending democratic rights and opposing authoritarian governance.
Now What?
Monitor developments on any domestic military operations under NSPM-7, including legal challenges and government transparency efforts, with further context available from The Intercept’s continued reporting and analysis of U.S. military and justice policies.
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What?
On November 4, 2025, White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles met with President Donald Trump and his key advisers in the Oval Office to discuss ending the congressional filibuster and removing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, during Trump’s second term in Washington, D.C.
So What?
This reveals the consolidation of power around Trump and Wiles, highlighting expanded executive authority and aggressive policy moves that could undermine democratic checks and civil liberties, posing challenges and mobilizing opportunities for progressive advocates.
Now What?
Watch for developments in how this core team shapes policy and enforces political retribution, plus ongoing analysis of the administration’s impact on domestic governance and foreign policy, with further context at Vanity Fair’s continued coverage here: Part 2.
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What?
In September 2023 and continuing into 2025, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., now U.S. Health and Human Services secretary, has cultivated strong support from the chiropractic industry at events like the Mile High conference in Denver and through his Make America Healthy Again movement.
So What?
This alliance signifies a shift in power dynamics by elevating alternative health practitioners who have historically been marginalized, potentially expanding the influence of anti-vaccine and anti-establishment ideas within federal health policy and opening new organizing opportunities for proponents of holistic health approaches.
Now What?
Watch for developments in legislation affecting chiropractic care reimbursement and recognition, as well as ongoing tensions within the chiropractic community over scientific standards, with further context on alternative health politics available at Politico’s coverage.
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Headline: Trump's rush to build nuclear reactors across the U.S. raises safety worries | Npr
What?
In 2025, the Trump administration launched a Department of Energy-led Reactor Pilot Program to fast-track construction of new nuclear reactors in the U.S., sidelining the traditional Nuclear Regulatory Commission oversight, with a goal to have three reactors operational by July 4, 2026.
So What?
This expedited regulatory process raises civil liberties and safety concerns by potentially prioritizing political and industry pressures over established independent safety oversight, posing risks of nuclear accidents and undermining public trust, which progressive campaigners might leverage to push for transparent, accountable regulation.
Now What?
Monitoring the progress and safety reviews of these pilot reactors, particularly any incidents or regulatory conflicts, will be crucial alongside further analysis of the DOE’s expanded regulatory role compared to the NRC’s historic oversight; for context, see coverage on nuclear regulatory practices and recent critiques of small modular reactors.
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Between January and September 2025, U.S. households paid $12 billion more for natural gas due to a 22% increase in LNG exports under the Trump administration, according to Public Citizen's analysis of federal data.
So What?
This matters because rising energy export-driven prices disproportionately harm vulnerable households, intensifying economic inequity and highlighting the influence of fossil fuel interests over national energy policy, which progressive campaigners can mobilize against for fairer utility costs and climate accountability.
Now What?
Watch for potential policy debates or executive actions on LNG export limits and energy affordability, as well as ongoing efforts by progressive groups to link energy export impacts to consumer hardship, with further context available at Public Citizen's reports and statements from lawmakers like Senator Edward Markey.
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Headline: Trump expected to sign an order moving to reclassify cannabis and open up medical potential | Yahoo
What?
President Donald Trump is expected to sign an executive order this week to move cannabis from Schedule I to Schedule III under federal law, aiming to acknowledge its medical benefits and ease regulatory restrictions in the United States.
So What?
This shift could reshape federal control over cannabis by expanding research and medical access, but it stops short of legalization or addressing historic injustices such as criminal records and mass incarceration tied to cannabis offenses, highlighting ongoing civil liberties and racial equity concerns.
Now What?
Watch for the formal publication of the reclassification rule, potential legislative moves like the SAFER Banking Act, and ongoing debates over clemency for those imprisoned on cannabis charges, with further context available from progressive cannabis reform advocacy groups and congressional tracking sites.
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Headline: Muslim civil rights group CAIR sues DeSantis over 'foreign terrorist' label | Wusf
What?
The Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) and its Florida affiliate sued Governor Ron DeSantis in December 2025 over his order labeling them and the Muslim Brotherhood as foreign terrorist organizations in Florida.
So What?
This challenges state overreach in designating terrorist groups, raising critical civil liberties concerns and spotlighting the targeting of Muslim civil rights defenders, which mobilizes progressive efforts against discriminatory state actions.
Now What?
Watch for federal court rulings on the constitutionality of such state-level designations and ongoing similar legal challenges like CAIR’s suit against Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, with further context available at CAIR’s public statements and related case filings.
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AI & Tech
Headline: Study Tracks Global Market of SMS Verifications Used in Online Manipulation | Science
What?
A recent study introduces the Cambridge Online Trust and Safety Index (COTSI), which monitors daily prices for SMS verifications across 197 countries and over 500 online platforms to expose a key element of malicious inauthentic activities online.
So What?
This insight reveals how profits from the sale of SMS verifications facilitate harmful activities like scams and political manipulation, highlighting important civil liberties risks and opening new avenues for digital rights advocacy and platform accountability campaigns.
Now What?
Progressive communicators should watch for further research or policy responses addressing the infrastructure of online manipulation markets, with context available at cotsi.org and related cybersecurity and digital rights literature.
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On December 16, 2025, OpenAI released GPT-Image Model 1.5 worldwide through ChatGPT and its API, featuring faster performance and improved image editing tools as competition with Google's Gemini intensifies.
So What?
This development highlights the growing concentration of AI visual technologies in corporate hands, raising questions about access, control over creative tools, and the implications for visual culture and digital rights among communities and campaigners.
Now What?
Watch for how OpenAI’s evolving image tools integrate corporate partnerships like Disney and affect user agency in image creation, alongside ongoing competition with Google, with further reading at OpenAI’s blog and updates on AI industry dynamics.
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Headline: How We Found the Man Behind Two Deepfake Porn Sites | Bellingcat
What?
Bellingcat’s December 2025 investigation identified Hungarian national Mark Resan as the operator behind two subscription-based deepfake porn sites, RefacePorn and DeepfakePorn, which sold non-consensual synthetic sexual imagery until recently going offline.
So What?
This exposes a significant abuse of emerging AI technologies to violate civil liberties and bodily autonomy, highlighting urgent gaps in accountability and legal protections for predominantly women victims, while revealing opportunities for progressive advocates to push for stronger regulation and platform responsibility globally.
Now What?
Watch for developments in enforcement of the EU’s 2027 directive criminalizing non-consensual deepfake porn and tracking similar operators, alongside ongoing efforts to inhibit AI-enabled abuse and protect survivors; further context is available through studies by My Image My Choice and reporting from Indicator and Security Hero.
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Climate
Headline: Greenpeace’s Fight With Pipeline Giant Exposes a Legal Loophole | Nytimes
What?
In late 2025, Greenpeace faces a costly legal battle after Energy Transfer funded the nonprofit GAIN to file a friend-of-the-court brief in North Dakota courts to block Greenpeace’s international lawsuit related to pipeline protests.
So What?
This case highlights how corporate-funded groups exploit legal loopholes and amicus brief disclosures to weaponize the judicial system against environmental activists, threatening civil liberties and raising organizing challenges for progressives.
Now What?
Watch for North Dakota Supreme Court decisions on Energy Transfer’s anti-suit injunction and evolving debates on amicus brief disclosure reforms, with additional context from watchdog groups and legal experts at The New York Times and related investigative reports.
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Headline: 2025 Likely to Tie for Second-Hottest Year on Record | Scientificamerican
What?
The European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service reported in December 2025 that this year is likely the second or third hottest on record globally, reaching about 1.48 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels despite being a La Niña year.
So What?
This near-record heat underscores the accelerating pace of climate change, highlighting the urgency for progressive campaigners to push for stronger emissions reductions and hold power structures accountable for weak fossil fuel commitments undermining global climate targets.
Now What?
Watch for follow-up climate reports confirming temperature trends and international climate talks outcomes, especially regarding fossil fuel policies, with further context available from the Copernicus Climate Change Service and updates on the Paris Agreement implementation.
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Headline: The Arctic Is in Dire Straits, 20 Years of Reporting Show | Scientificamerican
What?
The 2025 Arctic Report Card reveals that over the past 20 years, the Arctic has warmed twice as fast as the global average, losing 95% of its oldest sea ice and experiencing drastic environmental changes across regions including Alaska, Greenland, and the central Arctic Ocean.
So What?
This accelerating Arctic crisis highlights the urgent need for climate justice advocacy, revealing profound impacts on Indigenous communities, global weather patterns, and ecosystems, while offering strategic momentum for progressive campaigns pushing for robust environmental protections and climate action.
Now What?
Watch for ongoing coverage of Arctic climate feedback loops, the effects of Atlantification, and policy responses to increasing Arctic storms and melting ice, with further context available at NOAA’s Arctic Report Card and Scientific American’s climate coverage.
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Headline: Governors Are Jumping Into the Colorado River | Politico
What?
Seven Western states missed the November federal deadline for a Colorado River water-sharing agreement as Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs pressured the Trump administration to force upstream states to commit to binding water reductions amid climate-fueled megadrought.
So What?
With Lake Powell and Lake Mead at one-third capacity and California's dependence on the river for agriculture and urban water supply, the stalled negotiations threaten water security for 40 million people while exposing how climate adaptation requires interstate cooperation that partisan gridlock increasingly undermines.
Now What?
Watch for: Updates from the December Colorado River Water Users Association conference in Las Vegas; Interior Secretary Doug Burgum's intervention decisions; 2026 deadline approaches for new reservoir management rules; Lake Powell power generation crisis if levels drop further by December 2026. Further reading: Colorado Sun's comprehensive Colorado River coverage.
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Headline: Homeowners drop flood insurance as FEMA rates rise | E&E News
What?
Nearly 250,000 households dropped federal flood insurance since FEMA launched Risk Rating 2.0 four years ago to align premiums with actual flood risk and compensate for climate change-driven damage costs.
So What?
The mass exodus from flood coverage leaves vulnerable households unprotected while FEMA's efforts to make the National Flood Insurance Program financially sustainable conflict with affordability—creating a policy crisis where accurate risk pricing drives people to drop essential protection just as climate disasters intensify.
Now What?
Watch for: Congressional hearings on NFIP reforms; state-level flood insurance assistance programs; Federal Emergency Management Agency modifications to Risk Rating 2.0; data on uninsured flood losses from upcoming disasters. Further reading: Environmental Defense Fund analysis on flood insurance policy solutions.
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Headline: Escalating climate disasters could make homes uninsurable, new report warns | Hawaii Tribune-Herald
What?
Hawaii Appleseed Center warns Hawaii's property insurance market is becoming unstable as private insurers retreat post-Lahaina fires, with condo nonrenewals jumping 216% from 2018-2023 and premiums rising 12% for homeowners and 16% for condos—some buildings saw $2,000 per unit increases.
So What?
Insurance market collapse threatens to make affordable housing unsellable and freeze mortgage lending in Hawaii, where 60% of housing predates 1990 and 40% are multifamily buildings requiring coverage, while the state's public insurance backstops would be quickly overwhelmed by a Hurricane Iniki-scale event.
Now What?
Watch for: State legislative action on Appleseed's recommendations for climate resilience funding; Honolulu's ongoing litigation against fossil fuel companies for climate costs; Federal Reserve warnings about regional mortgage availability; Hawaii Hurricane Relief Fund capacity assessments. Further reading: Hawaii Appleseed's full report 'Who Pays for Climate Disasters?'
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Headline: Global insured catastrophe losses set to hit $107 billion in 2025, report shows | Reuters
What?
Swiss Re Institute reports global insured catastrophe losses will reach $107 billion in 2025—the sixth consecutive year exceeding $100 billion—with the U.S. accounting for 83% driven by the $40 billion Los Angeles Palisades Fire and $50 billion in severe convective storms.
So What?
Elevated catastrophe losses are 'no longer outliers but the new baseline,' forcing insurers to tighten underwriting and raise premiums while pulling back from high-risk areas, creating a crisis for progressive communicators to frame as climate adaptation failure requiring systemic policy intervention rather than individual market responses.
Now What?
Watch for: 2026 insurance rate increase announcements; state insurance commissioner actions on coverage availability; Congressional hearings on climate insurance gaps; reinsurance market capacity constraints. Further reading: Swiss Re Institute's full 2025 catastrophe report.
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Culture
Headline: Bari Weiss' much-hyped CBS News town hall with Erika Kirk was a massive ratings flop | Independent
What?
CBS News editor-in-chief Bari Weiss' heavily promoted Saturday night town hall with Turning Point USA CEO Erika Kirk drew 1.9 million viewers—an 11% decline in total viewership and 41% drop in the key 25-54 demographic compared to CBS' standard Saturday programming, while drawing far fewer viewers than Kirk's Fox News appearances.
So What?
The ratings failure reveals audience resistance to CBS' rightward editorial pivot under Paramount Skydance ownership, as Weiss' "radical centrist" rebranding—featuring softball interviews with MAGA figures while staff describe her on-air role as "embarrassing"—fails to attract either traditional CBS viewers or the conservative audience that already has Fox News.
Now What?
Watch for: CBS decisions on future Weiss-hosted town halls; reactions to Tony Dokoupil's "CBS Evening News" promotion; advertiser responses to controversial programming; internal newsroom tensions as staff question editorial independence. Further reading: MSNBC's analysis of CBS News' editorial shift under Weiss leadership.
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Headline: The party politics of sovereign house | New Yorker
What?
Emma Green reports on "Sovereign House," a Dimes Square venue that has successfully blended right-wing politics with downtown "cool," hosting "doge appreciation parties" and gathering influential Zoomer conservatives.
So What?
The Right is successfully capturing "counter-culture" aesthetics to recruit Gen Z, making conservatism look "punk" and "transgressive" while painting progressivism as bureaucratic and uncool.
Now What?
Monitor Nick Allen’s new venue, "Reign," which is positioned to become a key fundraising and organizing hub for the incoming Trump administration's youth wing.
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Rob Reiner and wife Michele Singer Reiner attended Conan O'Brien's Saturday holiday party with their son Nick, who exhibited erratic behavior including interrupting conversations and asking guests if they were "famous," hours before the couple was found stabbed to death in their Brentwood home with Nick arrested for their murder.
So What?
The tragedy exposes Hollywood's struggles with mental health and addiction within industry families, as the Reiners' attempt to "keep an eye on" their troubled adult son at a celebrity gathering preceded an act of violence that has shocked the entertainment community and raised questions about warning signs and intervention systems.
Now What?
Watch for: Nick Reiner's arraignment and potential death penalty decision; Hollywood responses to mental health support systems for industry families; tributes to Rob Reiner's directorial legacy ("When Harry Met Sally," "The Princess Bride," "A Few Good Men"); discussions of family tragedy in entertainment industry. Further reading: Rolling Stone's coverage of the Reiner family's public struggles with Nick's addiction.
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Headline: Companies Are Desperately Seeking 'Storytellers' | WSJ
What?
The Wall Street Journal reports that job postings for "storytellers" have doubled in the last year as corporations hire laid-off journalists to bypass traditional media, though many firms lack the "media mindset" to use them effectively.
So What?
For progressive organizations, this confirms that "becoming your own media company" is now the dominant industry standard; relying solely on shrinking legacy newsrooms is a losing strategy.
Now What?
Look for opportunities to hire talent from the contracting journalism market, but ensure they have the editorial freedom to create authentic content, not just press releases.
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Headline: Five things that changed the media in 2025 | New Yorker
What?
Jay Caspian Kang argues that 2025 was defined by AI "cannibalizing" traditional news traffic and the saturation of narrative podcasts, which have become the default career lifeboat for displaced writers.
So What?
The "public square" is further fragmenting; as AI scrapers decimate search traffic for text, "personality-driven" formats (audio/video) that rely on human connection are the only safe harbor for advocacy messaging.
Now What?
Audit your organization's reliance on text-based web traffic and consider pivoting resources toward personality-driven audio or video formats that AI cannot easily replicate.
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What the Right is Reading
Headline: Are toxic heavy metals from solar panels posing a threat to human health? | Semafor
What?
A new viral claim circulating in right-wing ecosystems alleges solar panels are leaching toxic cadmium into the soil—a narrative debunked by a new Gigafact report showing the materials are sealed and stable.
So What?
This represents the new frontier of climate denial: pseudo-environmental concern trolling designed to block local permitting; communicators must have pre-bunking materials on "clean energy safety" ready for local chapters.
Now What?
Expect this specific talking point to appear in town halls regarding rural solar farms; bookmark the Gigafact brief for rapid response.
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Headline: How to Finish off the Muslim Brotherhood | The National Interest
What?
The National Interest published a strategy paper arguing Trump's November 2025 executive order directing State and Treasury to designate specific Muslim Brotherhood branches—Lebanese Islamic Group, Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood, and Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood—as terrorist organizations represents a "surgical" approach that avoids past designation failures by targeting branches with documented Hamas ties rather than the entire decentralized movement.
So What?
This reflects conservative foreign policy establishment framing Middle East policy through counterterrorism lens while providing intellectual justification for Trump administration actions that could restrict civil liberties of Muslim American organizations, as the article explicitly calls for expanding designations to financial networks and argues the fragmented Brotherhood structure requires branch-by-branch targeting based on "evidence" that conflates political Islamism with terrorism.
Now What?
Watch for: State and Treasury Department designation announcements for the three named branches; expansion of designations to other Brotherhood affiliates or financial networks; legal challenges from affected organizations; impact on Muslim American civil society groups with historical Brotherhood connections; congressional legislation (Cruz's Muslim Brotherhood Terrorist Designation Act). Further reading: Foundation for Defense of Democracies analysis of executive order implementation.
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First Assistant U.S. Attorney Bill Essayli told Fox News that Trump's September 2025 executive order directing federal resources toward "far-left" extremist groups enabled the FBI to embed an undercover agent within the Turtle Island Liberation Front, leading to Friday's arrest of four members who allegedly planned coordinated pipe bomb attacks on two California companies for New Year's Eve.
So What?
The framing positions Trump administration domestic surveillance expansion as counterterrorism success while conflating anti-capitalist activism with terrorism and using "Antifa-like" language to justify investigating left-wing groups—a narrative that obscures civil liberties implications of executive orders enabling infiltration of political organizations and raises questions about selective enforcement given the administration's handling of far-right extremism.
Now What?
Watch for: Details of Trump's September executive order and Attorney General memo directing resources toward left-wing groups; additional charges against Turtle Island Liberation Front members; legal challenges to undercover infiltration tactics; comparative analysis of DOJ resources allocated to far-left versus far-right domestic extremism; reactions from civil liberties organizations regarding political surveillance. Further reading: Justice Department criminal complaint detailing "Operation Midnight Sun" plot specifics.
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Etc.
Headline: January 6 Pipe Bomb Suspect Linked to Nazi My Little Pony Imagery | Bsky
What?
The January 6 pipe bomb suspect was identified as a brony who liked over 300 images of a Nazi-themed My Little Pony character on the fandom's largest art site, Derpibooru.
So What?
This reveals how extremist and white supremacist symbols can infiltrate unexpected subcultures online, highlighting challenges for progressive organizers monitoring radicalization and hate networks.
Now What?
Watch for further investigations into extremist use of fandom communities as recruitment or propaganda spaces and follow analyses of online hate symbol adaptations, such as those covered by anti-racism digital watchdogs and researchers OR we can just have ourselves a laugh about it. Readers choice!
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Headline: Why lawyers buy so many billboards | Thehustle
What?
The article explains how and why attorneys in the United States, including high-spending personal injury and criminal defense lawyers, have increasingly invested hundreds of millions of dollars in billboard advertising through 2024 to build their client bases amid intense competition.
So What?
This matters because it highlights how the legal industry leverages costly public advertising to dominate markets, raising questions about access to justice, industry power imbalances, and the influence of litigation financing and tort reform lobbying on civil liberties and consumer protections.
Now What?
Watch for evolving state and federal legislative efforts to regulate legal advertising and litigation financing, such as new tort reform laws and proposed federal taxes on litigation funding, while monitoring debates about corporate influence versus fair compensation in the civil justice system; see further discussion at The American Tort Reform Association and Protecting American Consumers Together websites.
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What?
A 2025 Visa survey of 1,000 U.S. adults found 45% of Gen Z aged 18 to 28 are excited to receive cryptocurrency as a holiday gift, while financial experts offer cautious advice about its volatility and educational value.
So What?
This trend highlights growing youth engagement with risky digital assets, raising civil liberties questions around financial literacy, economic equity, and potential vulnerabilities that progressive communicators might address through educational campaigns and policy advocacy.
Now What?
Watch for developments in crypto regulation, youth-targeted financial education efforts, and market shifts impacting adoption; further context can be found in reports on digital asset equity and investment education programs.
